elections

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Millions Missing from Electoral Roll as Voters Face Double Whammy of Registration Issues and Photo ID

Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 19/02/2024 - 11:53pm in

More than 7.6 million eligible voters in England and Wales are missing from the electoral roll, according to new analysis by the Electoral Reform Society. 

With major elections scheduled for this year – including the general election and a sweep of police and crime commissioner, local council and mayoral elections – the scale of the registration gap could dramatically impact outcomes. 

The constituency with the highest number of unregistered voters is the Cities of London and Westminster – where 24,320 people are missing from the electoral roll. This means that 20.3% of the eligible population is missing from the electoral roll. 

The rest of the ‘bottom five’ worst-performing seats by proportion of missing voters are: Leeds Central and Headingley, Bristol Central, Sheffield Central, and Liverpool Riverside. All are missing about one-fifth of potential voters from their rolls.

The data is based on new boundaries that will be in place for this year’s general election. 

London accounts for 14 of the 20 constituencies which have the highest proportion of unregistered voters – believed to be in large part due to its high proportion of young, insecurely-housed people and foreign nationals. 

Constituency (New Boundaries)Region/NationTotal Missing% of Population MissingCities of London & WestminsterLondon2432020.3Leeds Central & HeadingleyYorkshire & Humber2146420.2Bristol CentralSouth West1836419.6Sheffield CentralYorkshire & Humber1755719.5Liverpool RiversideNorth West2284619.4Kensington & BayswaterLondon2534019.1Bermondsey & Old SouthwarkLondon2036419.0Poplar & LimehouseLondon2603818.8Holborn & St PancrasLondon1984518.7Manchester RusholmeNorth West2068418.7Bethnal Green & StepneyLondon2330118.4Islington South & FinsburyLondon2120618.3Hackney South & ShoreditchLondon2053418.2Vauxhall & Camberwell GreenLondon1881218.2Clapham & Brixton HillLondon1907618.2Manchester CentralNorth West2211218.1Chelsea & FulhamLondon2141517.9Queen's Park & Maida ValeLondon2206717.8Stratford & BowLondon2267017.8Islington NorthLondon1937517.6Credit: ERS

The capital does not account for any of the 20 seats with the lowest numbers missing from the register.

Cheadle in the North West has the lowest proportion of voters who are unregistered, at 9.5%, followed by Sefton Central, and York Outer. 

The findings fire the starting gun for voter registration drives which will need to be stepped up as voters in all of England and Wales approach elections this May for police and crime commissioners, and many mayors and councils in England. 

This year, voters have to grapple with the need to show photographic ID too, adding another barrier for those planning to vote. Around two million people lack eligible forms of ID.

Initiatives by groups such as Shout Out UK and My Vote My Voice aim to bolster participation, particularly in under-represented communities. This effort mirrors the surge seen in 2019, when more than three million new registrations were recorded in the run-up to the General Election, compared to 2.3 million in the same period before the 2017 vote.

But any surge is likely to put a strain on electoral registration officers, not least given the  high volume of duplicate registrations. There is no way for people to check online if they are already registered to vote, meaning that many individuals end up accidentally applying to register twice. 

Campaign groups including the ERS and Unlock Democracy are calling for a shift to 'automatic voter registration’ (AVR) – a move they argue could transform levels of voter engagement in the UK. 

Thea Ridley-Castle, research and policy officer for the Electoral Reform Society, said: “The health of our democracy demands a move to automatic voter registration.

"Sweden uses an automatic voter registration model. All persons who qualify to be included on the Swedish Tax Agency’s population register 30 days before the election day are automatically registered and mailed a polling card. In 2022, the voting age population of Sweden was 8.1 million, over 7.75 million people were registered to vote, and turnout was 84%. 

“In America, 23 states and the District of Columbia have approved AVR and more states are expected to pass similar provisions… In the first six months after AVR was implemented in Vermont in 2017, registration rates jumped 62% when compared to the first half of 2016. Automatic Voter Registration is tried and tested. It’s time it came to the UK.”

Estimates are based on ONS 2021 Census population figures and Electoral Commission data on registration levels by housing tenure. The figures include the entire over-16 population (as 16- and 17-year-olds may register as attainers) but does not account for nationality or citizenship as these are not included in the data. This is consistent with Electoral Commission data on registration.

See the numbers of voters missing in your consistuency here. 

Do you have a story that needs highlighting? Get in touch by emailing josiah@bylinetimes.com

True the Vote admits it can’t backup dropbox fraud claims featured in 2000 Mules film

Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Fri, 16/02/2024 - 9:21am in

In a recent court filing, 2000 Mules gangsters, True the Vote, admitted that they didn’t have any back up whatsoever for their claims that Black people got $10 per ballot to vote several times and stuffed them in dropboxes. True the Vote admit ... READ MORE

Left-Wing Mayor Blocked from Labour Selection Amid Anti-Semitism Row Accuses Party of Factional Approach to Suspensions

Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Thu, 15/02/2024 - 3:45am in

A metro-mayor blocked from standing for Labour after appearing on a platform with filmmaker Ken Loach has accused the party of double standards over anti-Semitism. 

Jamie Driscoll, the North of Tyne mayor, quit the party last year after being barred from the Labour shortlist for the new larger North East Combined Authority. The party said it followed him refusing to condemn remarks from Loach that appeared to cast doubt on the Holocaust (Loach later clarified he believed the Holocaust was beyond any doubt). Driscoll, a former engineer, is now building a fierce campaign for the North East mayoralty as an independent. 

Now Driscoll has accused the party’s decisions on suspensions of being driven by factionalism and ideology - rather than real concerns over racism.

The comments came amid the party’s delay in suspending the party’s Rochdale by-election candidate Azhar Ali. Ali was caught on tape appearing to endorse an anti-Israel conspiracy theory, and claiming "people in the media from certain Jewish quarters" were condemning suspended Labour MP Andy McDonald. 

Jamie Driscoll told Byline Times: “Labour was trying to get me out long before I spoke to Ken Loach. I've got the emails [to prove it]. I’d been asking for data to contact members, which is my right as mayor. For years and years, Labour HQ said ‘the system can’t do that for mayors.’ Andy Burnham said: Yeah, it can. 

“Then I got this email from [HQ] that said, you can have the data, but only if you promise you won't run as North East mayor. So there you go. It was always going to happen.” 

Later in 2023 he spoke to filmmaker Loach “at a film festival about a film he’d made in my region. And [Labour HQ] said ‘you can't do that’. This is the bloke the Pope invited to the Sistine Chapel because of his work, making films campaigning for social justice.”

Labour subsequently barred him from the shortlist to be the party’s candidate for the new North East Combined Authority, which takes in Northumbria and County Durham as well as Newcastle and its surroundings. 

Driscoll added his concern that New Labour grandee Peter Mandelson appeared to be continuing to advise Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer - “despite staying over and being close friends with Jeffrey Epstein, a convicted child sex trafficker….That goes unnoticed.” (Lord Mandelson has said he ‘very much regrets’ their association and no illegality is alleged on his party). 

Labour MP Kate Osamor was also recently suspended after a comment on Holocaust Memorial Day suggesting Israel was engaged in genocide in Gaza. 

“[Osamor] said we shouldn't have genocide in Gaza, which is what the ICJ the International Court of Justice is saying,” Driscoll claimed. Osamor is on the left of the party. 

He accused Labour HQ of wanting to “destroy the labour movement's influence on the Labour Party. They want to make it a parliamentary party only. They're packing it with their loyal supporters. And they want to make sure that there is no democratic route through. 

“The NEC is using their powers in selections to say, “No, you can't be our candidate in future because you're not one of our group.” I was part of that, and that was it.”

He believes he was blocked from selection because he has “shown that this works” - this being radical Labour policies. Driscoll plans to reverse full bus privatisation in the North East, and implement free travel for under 18s. 

The independent mayor claims quiet support from Labour backers in the region: “More people in the Labour Party are going to vote for me rather than the Labour candidate” he says. 

“There’s a big list of anonymous donations on my [election] crowdfunder. Why do you think they're anonymous? They’re Labour. Half the Labour party refused to nominate [their candidate] in the North East,” the 53-year-old adds. 

He has also made a name for himself by committing to claim nothing in personal expenses and maintaining council tax levels at the same rate, policies he believes endear him to Conservative and Reform voters.

He also claims credit for negotiating the £6.1bn devolution deal for the North East from Levelling Up secretary Michael Gove. 

While Driscoll believes Keir Starmer “won’t last long”, he appears content with his independent status, and done with party politics. 

Driscoll spoke to Byline Times on Tuesday as he received the backing of youth climate movement Green New Deal Rising - and he appeared bullish about his political prospects this May. After his decision to run as an independent, he received around £150,000 in crowdfunded donations for his campaign - meaning he can put up a major campaign against the big parties.

It is this that he pins his very support to: a widespread dissatisfaction with traditional party politics. That view will no doubt have gained some additional traction amid Labour’s latest debacle. 

“Nobody turns out for the Labour Party anymore. You just look at the campaign photos to get like four or five people. It's the candidate and councillors who were whipped to be there, and a paid organiser and that's it. I turn up somewhere and 50 people just appear, and we actually run out of leaflets before we run out of people. 

“A lot of them are secret Labour members. There’s a Labour councillor who said ‘we’ve ordered the leaflets from the official Labour candidate, and they're going straight in the bin’”. 

He hints that even one or two North East Labour MPs have confessed to planning to voting for him - which Byline Times cannot verify. 

Nonetheless, the campaign does appear to have considerable traction. “It's huge. It doesn't matter what your politics are. People really don't like unfairness. A small stone can become an avalanche very quickly.”

Do you have a story that needs highlighting? Get in touch by emailing josiah@bylinetimes.com

Is Trump In or Out?

Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Thu, 15/02/2024 - 1:03am in

Candidates should be forced to pledge to abide by election results.

Conservative Promos Banned by Local Newspaper After Party ‘Wrongly Suggests Paper Endorsed’ Candidate

Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 14/02/2024 - 9:51pm in

A local newspaper editor has hit out at a Conservative parliamentary candidate for putting out a leaflet that wrongly implied the paper had endorsed his campaign.

Yousef Dahmash, the Conservative candidate for Rugby and Bulkington in the upcoming general election, used a quote from the Rugby Advertiser in party material, which editor Phil Hibble says gave the impression it was an endorsement.

This quote stemmed from an article about Dahmash's nomination as the Conservative choice for the parliamentary seat, taking over from the retiring MP Mark Pawsey, local press title Hold the Front Page reported. 

Hibble hit out in a comment piece on the title’s site, stating: “A political line has been crossed - and we are angry. Many of you would have seen that a leaflet from the Conservative's Yousef Dahmash that seems to have an 'endorsement' from us, The Rugby Advertiser. We are politically neutral and would never endorse a candidate. We will take action so this will never happen again.”

Photo: Local Conservative leaflet via Rugby Advertiser

The paper has declared a ban on publishing any Conservative press releases until the issue is addressed.

Editor Hibble wrote: “The good folk of the town will be wondering ‘Has our local newspaper suddenly abandoned their position of political neutrality?’ Let us assure you – no, we haven’t. And we are angry. The ‘endorsement’ came in the shape of a ‘quote’, which read: “Someone whose Rugby credentials are not in doubt….”. It then went on to list Yousef’s credentials and attributed it to the Rugby Advertiser.

“Not only did the Tories fail to notify us about using our name on their literature, but they used the quote out of context.”

The original article - ‘Rugby Tories play it safe with candidate for next election’ - included the line Cllr Dahmash used, but the full paragraph read: “After taking flak for selecting Lisa Parker to stand again for the borough council in May on the controversial basis that an allotment in Bilton was reasonable grounds for someone who lives in Northamptonshire to represent Rugby residents – and though external candidates are allowed in the parliamentary field – the association has gone for someone whose Rugby credentials are not in doubt.'”

Hibble added: “Using a line out of context as an endorsement on political literature is, at best, morally questionable. But at worst, it is damaging to our reputation as a trusted source for local news. And that has consequences for local democracy.

“We have asked the Tories to make a public statement about this and we will not publish any of their press material in the editorial space until the matter is resolved. Using our name as an endorsement for a candidate is never acceptable and deeply unfair to the people of Rugby.” 

A Labour source told Byline Times: “People trust their local paper to give fair and balanced views of local and national politics, but the Tories want to erode that trust with silly tricks that undermine good journalism.

"Sunak promised ‘integrity, accountability and professionalism at every level’. Instead we’ve got impersonation, ambiguity and poppycock.”

Hibble claimed in his piece that Cllr Dahmash had defended the pamphlet in a phone conversation.

UPDATE: Cllr Dahmash told Byline Times: "As you correctly identify...a quote was used from a Rugby Advertiser article in a recent leaflet. It was not intended to be an endorsement and no member of the public locally has raised this misinterpretation with me or with Rugby Conservative Association."

He added: "We believe that anyone who has read the leaflet, or will read it in the future, will be able to determine it is used as a quote. We do not believe that it meets the definition of an endorsement. 

"The quote contains factual information reported by the Rugby Advertiser. We did not include the quote in an effort to suggest I was preferred as a candidate by the newspaper, but to draw attention to what the Rugby Advertiser had itself reported and printed in the public domain."

We have removed a line from a Labour source which suggested Cllr Damash had 'made up' the quotes. This was incorrect and we're happy to amend.  

Do you have a story that needs highlighting? Get in touch by emailing josiah@bylinetimes.com

These Elections Will be Fought Dirty and in the Shadows. VoteWatch Will Help Shine a Light

Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 12/02/2024 - 8:31pm in

It’s now just 12 weeks until millions of people will go to the ballot box in England. And who knows how little time we have until the General Election? 

In May, those in England will be electing thousands of councillors plus mayors in London, the East Midlands, Greater Manchester, the Liverpool City Region, the North East, South Yorkshire, Tees Valley, West Midlands, West Yorkshire, and York & North Yorkshire. And across England and Wales, new Police and Crime Commissioners (remember them?) are being picked.

These mayoral and PCC elections will be happening under a new voting system - well, a Victorian one imposed on them following the Elections Act 2022. 

But these aren’t the only democratic challenges this year.

Unprecedented Risks

The upcoming General Election will require mandatory Voter ID for the first time ever, sparking concerns about its impact on voter turnout and access. Recent polling by WeThink for this paper showed that up to ten million voters are unaware of the new requirements. It’s a potential disaster in the making. 

Ministers have also awarded themselves a huge hike in the election spending limit, with an 80% rise in the cap for political parties. Needless to say, only Sunak’s party knows when the election will be, giving them a major advantage.

The Government has handed a new strategy to the Electoral Commission - for the first time steering what was previously an independent elections watchdog.  

Meanwhile, around eight million people are completely missing from the electoral roll in Britain, with little indication that this gap is being closed. Indeed, many of those missing millions will have to both register to vote, and to order photo ID. 

As usual super-safe seats will be ignored by parties and the media- while a handful of swing seats will lap up parties’ largesse and compete for votes. 

"Dark money" and a lack of funding transparency in political campaigns will leave open questions about the sources of campaign cash - and the influence of opaque groups and think tanks on our elections. 

Take just one example: unlike businesses and charities, political parties are not subject to anti-money laundering regulations - the rules to prevent illicit cash flowing into the system. It’s a situation that Electoral Commission chair John Pullinger has described as untenable. And yet it persists. 

Nor is there any cap on the amount one person or company can donate to a political cause or party: one British citizen living in Russia for the past 50 years could, in theory, bankroll a party’s entire election campaign, with that party indebted to the tune of £5m, £15m, £30m or more. 

This year, we may see the emergence of new 'astroturf' groups - PR-firm initiated campaigns that have little genuine popular support, but can shape political discourse, fueled by money from industry groups and wealthy donors. 

These battles will be both on and offline. Millions will be spent on ‘microtargeting’ voters online, with the opportunity for highly personalised and potentially manipulative campaign strategies.

But at the same time, parties will use dirty tricks locally - issuing election leaflets that masquerade as local newspapers, blurring the lines between genuine news and campaign propaganda.  

Misinformation and disinformation, from activists here but also potentially from hostile states, pose a significant risk to the integrity of elections by leading voters to question who they can really trust. 

That problem is sent into overdrive by the advent of deepfakes and generative AI - with this year marking the first genuine 'artificial intelligence elections' in the UK. 

Oh, and the expansion of the overseas franchise in 2024 has led to an addition of two million extra potential overseas voters. They’ll be able to vote wherever they last lived in the UK, sometimes many decades ago. 

A Plan of Action

As a result of all this, UK elections face major challenges to their integrity this year. 

And we need hard-hitting media - fearless investigative journalism - to follow the cash and the ads, and to call out dodgy campaigning when it rears its head. That’s where you come in. 

Alongside the local heroes at the Bylines Network, our sister organisation, we want to launch an ambitious project to track these issues and put democracy front and centre this year. 

VoteWatch 2024 will have three core focuses: 

  • Voter Suppression - Monitoring the Voter ID Rollout and the Democratic Deficit
  • Money in Politics - Who's Funding the Debate?
  • Corrupted Campaigning - Tracking Disinformation, Deepfakes and Dodgy Actors
  • Voter Suppression - Monitoring the Voter ID Rollout and the Democratic Deficit
  • Money in Politics - Who's Funding the Debate?
  • Corrupted Campaigning - Tracking Disinformation, Deepfakes and Dodgy Actors
  • We’re relying on our supporters to make the project a reality. Because we know that if we don’t make this effort, no one else will. 

    So this is an ask: please help us cover the staff, infrastructure and investigative resources we need to make it possible. We need to raise £20,000 to get this off the ground - and when we raise it, the work starts with gusto. We’ve got exciting plans but it will take all our efforts to get it off the ground. 

    DONATE / HELP US MONITOR 2024 ELECTIONS

    VoteWatch Volunteers

    There’s more to do - and this one doesn’t cost a penny. We want to work with readers across the country to get a continuous stream of perspectives, insights and news of what’s happening on the ground.

    What does the election campaign look like where you are? Why have candidates and parties been saying? What leaflets are you getting - and who’s targeting you on social media?

    We’re looking for as many volunteers as possible - citizen sentinels - to watch the ground campaign and feed into our national reporting. We’ll put the spotlight on dirty tricks, wherever it's happening, while building a picture of emerging campaign trends. 

    It’s a biggy, but we think if anyone can do it, it’s us and the hundreds of citizen journalists at the Bylines Network and its 10 regional sites. 

    So, can you sign up to be a VoteWatch Volunteer?

    Thanks for your support. It’s going to be a dirty year in politics, but we can help clean it up. 

    Fill in our short form to become a VoteWatch Volunteer here and we'll be in touch soon.

    Do you have a story that needs highlighting? Get in touch by emailing josiah@bylinetimes.com

    ‘It’s Like GB News Regulating Ofcom’: House of Lords Slams New Government-Imposed Strategy for Elections Watchdog

    Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 07/02/2024 - 11:49pm in

    The Lords have issued a rebuke to the Government over its plans to impose a new strategy for the previously-independent elections watchdog. 

    Peers accused Ministers of politicising the UK’s independent elections watchdog, after Conservative MPs pushed through a Government-written strategy for the Electoral Commission for the first time in its history last Wednesday. 

    Last night, Lords passed a “motion to regret” the decision, a non-binding snub from the second chamber that comes amid fears that the election regulator had been commandeered by the politicians it oversees. 

    For example, the new Government-written strategy for the Commission mentions “fraud” eleven times, but “donations” (e.g. to political parties) just twice. It also contains no mentions of AI or misinformation, issues which are likely to pose a serious threat to this year’s elections’ integrity. 

    The Electoral Commission had itself briefed peers and MPs that the changes would be detrimental to the watchdog’s independence and public trust in elections. 

    An EC briefing ahead of the vote made clear that “the introduction of a mechanism such as a strategy and policy statement – by which a government can guide an electoral commission’s work –  is inconsistent with the independent role of an electoral commission”. 

    The elections body has the power to issue fines over election spending and donations failings by the Governing party that now sets its remit. The briefing stated that the new Government-written strategy statement “will enable actual or perceived guidance of the Commission’s decision-making by future UK Governments.”  

    “The Commission’s research suggests that public confidence has already been  damaged. It shows a significant decline in public perceptions of the Commission’s  independence since the introduction of proposals for a Statement.” 

    And in an apparent plea to a potential Labour Government, the group added: “The repeal of the power for [the] Government to designate a Statement would improve confidence and trust in our electoral system. It would uphold the principle that an  electoral commission remains independent from governments.”

    Labour’s Cat Smith MP told the Commons last week the changes were “straight out of a Republican party playbook, politicising the Electoral Commission.”

    Concerned Consensus

    Both the Commons Levelling Up Committee and Speaker’s Committee on the Electoral Commission have previously pointed out that a Government policy statement for the EC was unnecessary. 

    The Levelling Up Committee said “no evidence has been provided justifying it”, while both Committees also  expressed concerns about the impact the Statement would have on the  Commission’s independence and effectiveness, the EC noted in its briefing. 

    Damningly, the Levelling Up Committee found that the Government’s new EC strategy assumes that “Government priorities must automatically also be Commission priorities” and “for the most part  reads as though the Commission were an arm of Government”. 

    Ministers had defended themselves by noting that the Government sets the strategy for a number of regulators, from Ofwat to Ofgem and Ofsted. 

    But Lib Dem peer Chris Rennard, who has been leading much of the charge against the charges, told the chamber last night the EC was fundamentally different.

     “The Electoral Commission is not like other regulators such as those for the utility industries. Its role includes advising on the framing of election laws; and it helps to police them. It is not appropriate, therefore, for the party in power to set the Commission’s policy and strategy. 

    “Putting the governing party in charge of this is like letting GB News set the strategy and policy for Ofcom, Southern Water to set it for Ofwat, or Eton to set it for Ofsted,” he said.

    Lord Rennard told Byline Times: “The Electoral Commission was set up with all party agreement in 2000 to act as an independent watchdog regulating issues such as party finance and advising on issues such as potential changes to election laws.

    “We have had five Governments since then which accepted this principle, this is the first one which has sought to control the strategy and policy of an otherwise independent body.”  

    The Lib Dem peer had attempted to launch a 'fatal motion' against the changes in the Lords, but Labour did not get behind the plan, likely over fears that it would encourage Conservatives to vote down Labour legislation in the Lords under a Labour Government. 

    Lord Rennard added that making the Commission subject to a strategy “drawn up by Michael Gove” raises the question of what the Government fears from an independent regulator. 

    “Recent Government changes to election law such as raising party spending limits by 80% which will only help the Conservative Party; introducing very restricted forms of photo ID at polling to suppress the vote of those least likely to vote Conservative; and deliberately failing to take measures to register more of the eight million people legally entitled to vote but not on the electoral rolls – [they] all show a contempt for democracy and the principle of fair play in elections,” Lord Rennard said.   

    But Levelling Up minister in the Lords Baroness Penn told the chamber: “The Government absolutely agree[s] about the importance of the independence of the Electoral Commission, but we also think it important for all bodies to be accountable. 

    “The measures in the statement are a way for the Electoral Commission to be held to account by Parliament, and we think that is a reasonable measure to take.” 

    She noted, perhaps to the detriment of her argument about maintaining independence,  that “the statement sets out the Government’s priorities in areas that touch on matters such as voter ID, where the Government continue[s] to be of the view that it is essential that we stamp out the potential for voter fraud.” 

    Democracy groups and the EC itself have been sharply critical of voter ID and its implementation, given the strictly-limited types of photo ID permitted and the fact that over 14,000 voters were denied a vote in England’s 2023 local elections alone – elections that took place on a far smaller scale than a General Election. 

    Labour’s Lord Khan of Burnley motion to regret the change stated: “This House regrets that the draft Strategy and Policy Statement has been laid, despite significant concerns raised by the Speaker’s Committee, the Electoral Commission, and the Levelling Up, Housing and Communities Select Committee, during the statutory consultation process, and the finding by the Speaker’s Committee that the statement as drafted is “not fit for purpose and inconsistent with the Commission’s role as an independent regulator””. 

    It passed by 175 votes to 159, with no Conservative peers rebelling.

    “Do we have corruption? Yes, we do. This is an example of that,” Labour's Dawn Butler MP said in a previous debate on the issue.  

    UPDATE: An Electoral Commission spokesperson told Byline Times after the Lords vote:  “It remains the Electoral Commission’s view that a strategy and policy statement – by which the Government seeks to guide our work – is inconsistent with our independent role. The Commission’s Board has expressed its concern and key committees of Parliament have highlighted both the importance of maintaining the Commission’s independence and the risks posed by such a statement.

    “Now that the statement has been passed by the UK Parliament, we will meet our legal duty to have regard to it. We will continue to act independently and impartially to help maintain public confidence in elections and political finance regulation.”

    Commons Vote

    In the Commons' vote on the new EC strategy last week, Labour's shadow democracy minister, Florence Eshalomi MP, accused the government of railroading the changes through Parliament.

    Former constitution minister, Tory Chloe Smith noted that 2024 is a significant year for elections - emphasising the role of AI and the necessity for the Electoral Commission to address potential misinformation and election integrity.

    However, the Government’s strategy includes zero mentions of artificial intelligence, deepfakes or misinformation – issues which could have a significant impact on this year’s votes. 

    In closing, Minister Hoare reaffirmed the Commission's independence as "absolutely sacrosanct”. But in words that may come back to bite him, he added the Government strategy was  “iterative and organic – and of course, it can be refreshed to deal with issues as they arise…I use the word ‘as’ not ‘if’”.

    It was a recognition that the Conservatives – and future Governments - will be at liberty to change the Electoral Commission's strategy however and whenever they wish. 

    In the Commons last week, the new EC strategy passed on party lines by 273 votes to the opposition’s 190. There were no Conservative rebels. 

    Do you have a story that needs highlighting? Get in touch by emailing josiah@bylinetimes.com

    Election Crimes Detective ComixGet It Free – Pass It On – Steal Back Your Vote

    Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Tue, 06/02/2024 - 2:43pm in

    Tags 

    elections

    You’ve got a serious job to do: Read this comic book. Then Pass it on.
    What’s the big deal about a comic book?

    This comic will save your vote…and your vote will save the nation.
    ThInk of it as The Little Blue Book of... READ MORE

    ‘UK Elections Could Cause Britain’s Support for Ukraine to Falter’

    Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 05/02/2024 - 10:39pm in

    It’s a dangerous thought: that the UK’s role as one of Ukraine’s strongest backers could change in the next 12 months.

    But it’s one that’s sinking in, even in the wake of the new UK-Ukraine security deal signed in Kyiv just a few weeks ago.

    Though the UK public have been strongly supportive of Ukraine since February 2022, as one of Britain’s top pollsters warned on the one year anniversary of the Russian invasion, the public’s “support [...] is not completely limitless”.

    In this heady election year for Europe, then, there are some initial signs that the UK could also be on trend for “Ukraine fatigue” as it approaches elections in 2024 or early 2025 – and Reform UK, a right-wing populist party, could be the vessel that carries it.

    Fiercely anti-establishment, Reform UK is a vote sink for people who can no longer stand the Conservatives or Labour. They are now widely reported to be drawing away votes and support from the Conservatives, though there are different scenarios for how many seats they could eventually take in the UK parliament.

    According to the BBC’s integrated polling tracker, the Conservatives are polling around 24%, with the Labour Party around 40-50%, and at around 10%, Reform UK. (As evidence of the desperation, look at this open letter to Rishi Sunak from a leading Conservative opinion-maker.) Equally, it’s worth taking these numbers with a pinch of salt: the opinion polls could be inflated, or politically influenced; telephone polling by Ipsos suggests that the Reform vote is around 4% currently.

    But if there is a Reform party surge at the UK elections this year, it could be bad news for Ukraine. While Reform UK’s policy platform focuses on cutting back on “excess” – the cost of living crisis in the UK, government overreach, immigration or a “bloated” public sector – it does not currently have a foreign policy beyond calling for cuts to foreign aid. When asked by Byline Times about Ukraine, Reform UK said that it does not have a party position on the issue.

    Evidence of how this could play out on the voter side was apparent in the public reaction to Reform UK chairman Richard Tice’s recent trip to Ukraine to deliver pick-up trucks and other aid. While Tice praised Ukraine’s resistance, arguing that if Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, the Russian president would make further threats against Europe, Reform UK followers berated Tice online.

    They claimed Tice’s trip was evidence of him “putting Ukraine first” over the UK and couched their critique in contrast to the mainstream media’s supportive portrayal of Ukraine’s resistance against Russia.

    From their perspective, Tice was “playing along” with the UK establishment, which has spent billions in tax-payer funds on Ukraine’s fight against Russia. More broadly, stopping UK support is a common refrain in the comments when presenters address Ukraine on right-wing YouTube. As one prospective Reform parliamentary candidate explained the Tice trip on Twitter: “ReformUK supports peace in Ukraine and denounces the government for sending BILLIONS of pounds worth of weapons to Ukraine. Tice isn't handing out AKs, calm down.”

    Of course, it remains unclear how far public support for withdrawing aid to Ukraine goes. Judging by the online reaction, “Ukraine” triggers a broader anti-establishment narrative in the potential Reform UK segment, but it is not a driving concern.

    Still, Reform UK voters may be divided on supporting Ukraine along the twin poles of conservatism (“we must do more” and “we have to focus on ourselves”). On the one hand you have Tice, Reform’s leader, who warns of the danger Russia poses to Europe and calls to support Ukraine, and on the other, both Nigel Farage, Reform UK’s honorary president, and Laurence Fox, another major public face for this segment, argue that NATO expansion provoked Putin into the invasion. As Fox asked after Tice’s trip to Ukraine: “Shouldn’t British politicians deal with British problems?”

    In the worst-case scenario – and there is still time for this to change – we are potentially looking at Reform landing a group of MPs in parliament who either subscribe to the view that the UK should withdraw financial and military support from Ukraine, or believe their voters do.

    This means that the next UK Government may need to spend much more time explaining to the British public why backing Ukraine’s resistance against Russia is the right thing to do. The UK may have left the EU, but our right-wing populist moment is well in line with Europe

    Ten Million Voters Still Don’t Know They Need Voter ID

    Published by Anonymous (not verified) on Fri, 02/02/2024 - 11:14pm in

    Around ten million eligible voters do not know that they will need photo ID in order to vote in the upcoming general election, according to an exclusive new poll for Byline Times.

    The poll, conducted this week by pollsters We Think found that 22% of UK voters are still not aware that they will need to carry a form of photographic ID.

    This figure has risen by just one per cent since last April when We Think found that just 21% of voters were aware of the new requirements.

    The findings come after Rishi Sunak’s Government brought in a new law forcing voters to carry one of a limited number of approved IDs in order to vote.

    The legislation was rushed through despite almost no evidence of in-person voting fraud in the UK.

    At the last general election in 2019 there was just one conviction for impersonation at a polling booth.

    Last year the former Brexit minister Jacob Rees-Mogg admitted that the introduction of mandatory voter ID was an attempt to “gerrymander” future elections for the Conservative Party.

    The former Brexit Minister, who was part of Boris Johnson’s Government that introduced plans to force voters to present photo ID at polling stations, told the National Conservatism Conference in London that the plans were a “clever scheme” by his party to swing voters in their favour.

    The UK's elections watchdog has urged the Government to reform the policy.

    The Chair of the Electoral Commission, John Pullinger, warned just this week that the rules risked disenfranchising certain groups of voters.

    “The photo ID requirement is clearly proving more of a barrier to some people than others", he said.

    However, Downing Street has repeatedly refused to implement recommendations by the Commission to increase the forms of IDs accepted at polling station.

    Under current rules some IDs, such as senior bus passes, are accepted at polling stations, while others such as young people’s bus passes are not.

    A Government spokesperson insisted this week that it was vital for "security" for these forms of ID to be excluded.

    However, responding to this rejection of their proposals for other forms of ID to be accepted, the Electoral Commission's chair told the FT that: “I think readers will need to draw their own judgment about that".

    This discrepancy between the forms of accepted ID may have a significant impact at the general election, according to our poll.

    According to the survey younger voters are much less likely to know about the ID requirements than older voters. Although one in three (33%) voters under 40 say they are not aware of the ID requirements, a huge 97% of those aged over 75 say that they are.

    Muzzling the Watchdog

    The findings come in the same week that the Government was accused of trying to hobble the UK's elections watchdog.

    As this paper reported, the Government's new ‘Strategy and Policy statement’ for the Commission places great emphasis that the commission should focus on the limited cases of voter fraud, rather than regulations of donations.

    It also emphasises the need to sign up voters currently living abroad, rather than on enfranchising the millions of voters who currently do not take part in elections within the UK.

    This strategy has led to allegations from democracy campaigners that the Government is threatening the independence of the watchdog.

    Tom Brake, Director of Unlock Democracy, told this paper in December: “The Government is at sixes and sevens on this. It can’t on the one hand claim ‘it is vital for the health of democracy that the UK have an independent regulator’ whilst at the same time writing its Strategy and Policy Statement, destroying its independence."

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